生物多样性 ›› 2022, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (9): 22342. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2022342
王双贵1, 郭志宏1, 顾伯健2, 李天醍3, 苏玉兵1, 马伯丞1, 管宏信1, 黄巧雯3, 王放2,*(), 张卓锦2,*()
收稿日期:
2022-06-21
接受日期:
2022-09-22
出版日期:
2022-09-20
发布日期:
2022-09-28
通讯作者:
王放,张卓锦
作者简介:
18307110544@fudan.edu.cn基金资助:
Shuanggui Wang1, Zhihong Guo1, Bojian Gu2, Tianti Li3, Yubing Su1, Bocheng Ma1, Hongxin Guan1, Qiaowen Huang3, Fang Wang2,*(), Zhuojin Zhang2,*()
Received:
2022-06-21
Accepted:
2022-09-22
Online:
2022-09-20
Published:
2022-09-28
Contact:
Fang Wang,Zhuojin Zhang
摘要:
大型食肉动物对维持生态系统的结构和功能具有重要作用, 但大部分大型食肉动物处在持续的种群数量和分布面积下降之中, 面临着急迫的研究与保护需求。华北豹(Panthera pardus japonensis)是我国特有的豹亚种, 也是部分区域森林生态系统中仅存的大型食肉动物, 面临着生境破碎化等威胁。本研究使用红外相机调查了宁夏六盘山国家级自然保护区华北豹的分布, 通过构建占域模型分析了华北豹的栖息地利用, 预测了华北豹的适宜栖息地, 并评估了其生境破碎化格局。研究发现, 华北豹在六盘山的平均占域率约为0.135。华北豹偏好植被发育成熟、地势崎岖、温度较低、远离农田和公路的栖息地, 对于农田边缘和居民点等人类活动区域未显示出显著回避。研究识别的六盘山华北豹适宜栖息地主要沿六盘山东西两侧山脉分布, 55%的适宜栖息地斑块位于六盘山国家级自然保护区内。栖息地斑块面积平均为16 km2, 最大达214 km2, 约77%的栖息地斑块面积在10 km2以下。研究表明六盘山国家级自然保护区有效地保护了华北豹现有的适宜栖息地, 但仍存在栖息地破碎化和人类活动干扰等关键限制因素。建议通过栖息地改造、人类活动管理等方式增强六盘山华北豹适宜栖息地斑块连通性; 并通过推动华北豹跨省保护工作等举措促进华北豹种群扩散恢复。
王双贵, 郭志宏, 顾伯健, 李天醍, 苏玉兵, 马伯丞, 管宏信, 黄巧雯, 王放, 张卓锦 (2022) 六盘山华北豹的栖息地利用及保护建议. 生物多样性, 30, 22342. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2022342.
Shuanggui Wang, Zhihong Guo, Bojian Gu, Tianti Li, Yubing Su, Bocheng Ma, Hongxin Guan, Qiaowen Huang, Fang Wang, Zhuojin Zhang (2022) Habitat use of the North China leopard (Panthera pardus japonensis) in the Liupanshan Mountains and its implications for conservation planning. Biodiversity Science, 30, 22342. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2022342.
协变量 Covariate | 描述 Description | 数据类型 Data type | 变量类型 Covariate type | 方差膨胀因子 Variance inflation factor |
---|---|---|---|---|
生境因素 Habitat factor | ||||
崎岖度 Roughness (ROU) | 250 m × 250 m网格内的崎岖度 Roughness within 250 m × 250 m grids | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.55 |
夏季归一化植被指数 Summer NDVI (SNV) | 夏季(7月)平均NDVI Average NDVI in summer (July) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.73 |
冬季归一化植被指数 Winter NDVI (WNV) | 冬季(1月)平均NDVI Average NDVI in winter (January) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.72 |
人类因素 Human factor | ||||
距道路距离 Road (ROA) | 距最近道路的距离 Distance to the nearest road | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.30 |
距居民点距离 Residence (RES) | 距最近居民点的距离 Distance to the nearest residence | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.49 |
距农田距离 Cropland (CRO) | 距最近农田的距离 Distance to the nearest cropland | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.63 |
生物气候因素 Bioclimate factor | ||||
最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month (TMI) | 最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month (BIO 6) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.09 |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (DPR) | 最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (BIO 14) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.46 |
地表覆盖因素 Landcover factor | ||||
农田-自然植被占比 Cropland-natural vegetation percentage (CVP) | 农田-自然植被镶嵌带面积占比* Percentage area of cropland-natural vegetation mixture* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.50 |
草地占比 Grassland percentage (GRP) | 草地面积占比* Percentage area of grassland* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.60 |
草地-灌丛-森林占比 Grassland-shrub-forest percentage (GSP) | 草地-灌丛-森林镶嵌带面积占比* Percentage area of grassland-shrub-forest mixture* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.23 |
针叶林占比 Needle-leaved forest percentage (NEP) | 针叶林面积占比* Percentage area of needle-leaved forest* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.69 |
阔叶林占比 Broad-leaved forest percentage (BRP) | 阔叶林面积占比* Percentage area of broad-leaved forest* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.46 |
季节因素 Season factor | ||||
季节 Season (SEA) | 生长季(5-10月)或非生长季(11月至次年4月) Growing season (May-October) or non-growing season (November-next April) | 类型变量 Categorical | p | - |
表1 华北豹占域模型协变量表
Table 1 Occupancy model covariate table of North China leopard
协变量 Covariate | 描述 Description | 数据类型 Data type | 变量类型 Covariate type | 方差膨胀因子 Variance inflation factor |
---|---|---|---|---|
生境因素 Habitat factor | ||||
崎岖度 Roughness (ROU) | 250 m × 250 m网格内的崎岖度 Roughness within 250 m × 250 m grids | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.55 |
夏季归一化植被指数 Summer NDVI (SNV) | 夏季(7月)平均NDVI Average NDVI in summer (July) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.73 |
冬季归一化植被指数 Winter NDVI (WNV) | 冬季(1月)平均NDVI Average NDVI in winter (January) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.72 |
人类因素 Human factor | ||||
距道路距离 Road (ROA) | 距最近道路的距离 Distance to the nearest road | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.30 |
距居民点距离 Residence (RES) | 距最近居民点的距离 Distance to the nearest residence | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.49 |
距农田距离 Cropland (CRO) | 距最近农田的距离 Distance to the nearest cropland | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.63 |
生物气候因素 Bioclimate factor | ||||
最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month (TMI) | 最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month (BIO 6) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.09 |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (DPR) | 最干月降水量 Precipitation of driest month (BIO 14) | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.46 |
地表覆盖因素 Landcover factor | ||||
农田-自然植被占比 Cropland-natural vegetation percentage (CVP) | 农田-自然植被镶嵌带面积占比* Percentage area of cropland-natural vegetation mixture* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.50 |
草地占比 Grassland percentage (GRP) | 草地面积占比* Percentage area of grassland* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.60 |
草地-灌丛-森林占比 Grassland-shrub-forest percentage (GSP) | 草地-灌丛-森林镶嵌带面积占比* Percentage area of grassland-shrub-forest mixture* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.23 |
针叶林占比 Needle-leaved forest percentage (NEP) | 针叶林面积占比* Percentage area of needle-leaved forest* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 1.69 |
阔叶林占比 Broad-leaved forest percentage (BRP) | 阔叶林面积占比* Percentage area of broad-leaved forest* | 连续变量 Continuous | ψ | 2.46 |
季节因素 Season factor | ||||
季节 Season (SEA) | 生长季(5-10月)或非生长季(11月至次年4月) Growing season (May-October) or non-growing season (November-next April) | 类型变量 Categorical | p | - |
模型 Models | 自由度 K | 赤池信息指数 AIC | ΔAIC ΔAIC | 权重 Weight | 占域率 Occurrence rate (ψ) | 探测率 Detection rate (p)* | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ψ(SNV, ROA, RES, TMI, DPR, GRP, BRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 309.763 | 0.000 | 0.44 | 0.132 | 0.055/0.004 | ||
ψ(ROU, WNV, RES, CRO, TMI, CVP, GRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 310.807 | 1.044 | 0.30 | 0.133 | 0.054/0.005 | ||
ψ(SNV, CRO, TMI, DPR, BRP), p(SEA) | 8 | 311.254 | 1.491 | 0.18 | 0.137 | 0.051/0.004 | ||
ψ(ROU, WNV, ROA, RES, TMI, DPR, GRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 311.338 | 1.575 | 0.08 | 0.142 | 0.054/0.004 | ||
模型加权平均结果 Model weighted average results | 0.135 | 0.053/0.004 |
表2 华北豹的等价最优占域模型
Table 2 Equivalent optimal occupancy models of North China leopard
模型 Models | 自由度 K | 赤池信息指数 AIC | ΔAIC ΔAIC | 权重 Weight | 占域率 Occurrence rate (ψ) | 探测率 Detection rate (p)* | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ψ(SNV, ROA, RES, TMI, DPR, GRP, BRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 309.763 | 0.000 | 0.44 | 0.132 | 0.055/0.004 | ||
ψ(ROU, WNV, RES, CRO, TMI, CVP, GRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 310.807 | 1.044 | 0.30 | 0.133 | 0.054/0.005 | ||
ψ(SNV, CRO, TMI, DPR, BRP), p(SEA) | 8 | 311.254 | 1.491 | 0.18 | 0.137 | 0.051/0.004 | ||
ψ(ROU, WNV, ROA, RES, TMI, DPR, GRP), p(SEA) | 10 | 311.338 | 1.575 | 0.08 | 0.142 | 0.054/0.004 | ||
模型加权平均结果 Model weighted average results | 0.135 | 0.053/0.004 |
模型成分 Model component | 协变量 Covariate | 估计值 Estimate | 标准误 SE | 权重 Weight | 95%置信区间 95% confidence interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
占域 Occupancy | 截距 Intercept | -3.520 | 5.152 | - | -13.617~6.578 |
崎岖度 Roughness | 0.112 | 1.484 | 0.38 | -2.796~3.021 | |
夏季NDVI Summer NDVI | 4.180 | 4.934 | 0.18 | -5.490~13.850 | |
冬季NDVI Winter NDVI | 3.084 | 2.120 | 0.82 | -1.071~7.239 | |
距道路距离 Distance to road | 0.235 | 0.324 | 0.52 | -0.400~0.871 | |
距居民点距离 Distance to residence | -1.686 | 2.078 | 0.82 | -5.760~2.388 | |
距农田距离 Distance to cropland | 0.296 | 1.665 | 0.48 | -2.967~3.559 | |
最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month | -3.007 | 1.778 | 1 | -6.493~0.478 | |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of the driest month | 0.114 | 0.107 | 0.26 | -0.096~0.324 | |
农田-自然植被占比Cropland-natural vegetation percentage | 0.178 | 0.112 | 0.3 | -0.041~0.396 | |
草地占比 Grassland percentage | -1.820 | 2.092 | 0.82 | -5.919~2.279 | |
阔叶林占比 Broad-leaved forest percentage | 0.048 | 0.174 | 0.62 | -0.292~0.389 | |
探测 Detection | 截距 Intercept | -1.820 | 0.289 | - | -2.390~1.256 |
季节 Season | -2.510 | 0.769 | - | -4.015~-1.000 |
表3 环境协变量与探测协变量对华北豹占域率和探测率的影响
Table 3 Covariates contribution to North China leopard occurrence and detection probability
模型成分 Model component | 协变量 Covariate | 估计值 Estimate | 标准误 SE | 权重 Weight | 95%置信区间 95% confidence interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
占域 Occupancy | 截距 Intercept | -3.520 | 5.152 | - | -13.617~6.578 |
崎岖度 Roughness | 0.112 | 1.484 | 0.38 | -2.796~3.021 | |
夏季NDVI Summer NDVI | 4.180 | 4.934 | 0.18 | -5.490~13.850 | |
冬季NDVI Winter NDVI | 3.084 | 2.120 | 0.82 | -1.071~7.239 | |
距道路距离 Distance to road | 0.235 | 0.324 | 0.52 | -0.400~0.871 | |
距居民点距离 Distance to residence | -1.686 | 2.078 | 0.82 | -5.760~2.388 | |
距农田距离 Distance to cropland | 0.296 | 1.665 | 0.48 | -2.967~3.559 | |
最冷月最低温 Minimum temperature of coldest month | -3.007 | 1.778 | 1 | -6.493~0.478 | |
最干月降水量 Precipitation of the driest month | 0.114 | 0.107 | 0.26 | -0.096~0.324 | |
农田-自然植被占比Cropland-natural vegetation percentage | 0.178 | 0.112 | 0.3 | -0.041~0.396 | |
草地占比 Grassland percentage | -1.820 | 2.092 | 0.82 | -5.919~2.279 | |
阔叶林占比 Broad-leaved forest percentage | 0.048 | 0.174 | 0.62 | -0.292~0.389 | |
探测 Detection | 截距 Intercept | -1.820 | 0.289 | - | -2.390~1.256 |
季节 Season | -2.510 | 0.769 | - | -4.015~-1.000 |
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