Biodiv Sci ›› 2019, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (1): 13-23. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2018193
Special Issue: 钱江源国家公园生物多样性保护与管理
• Original Papers • Previous Articles Next Articles
Ren Peng1,Yu Jianping2,Chen Xiaonan2,Shen Xiaoli3,Song Xiao1,Zhang Tiantian1,Yu Yongquan2,Ding Ping1,*()
Received:
2018-07-15
Accepted:
2018-10-12
Online:
2019-01-20
Published:
2019-03-15
Contact:
Ding Ping
Ren Peng, Yu Jianping, Chen Xiaonan, Shen Xiaoli, Song Xiao, Zhang Tiantian, Yu Yongquan, Ding Ping. Seasonal variation in the distribution of Elliot’s pheasant (Syrmaticus ellioti) in Gutianshan National Nature Reserve[J]. Biodiv Sci, 2019, 27(1): 13-23.
自变量 Independent variable | 回归系数 Coefficients | 标准误差 Standard error | z | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
逻辑斯谛回归 Logistic regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
雌 + 雄 Female + male | 海拔 Altitude | -0.259 | 0.100 | -2.592 | 0.0095** |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.643 | 0.108 | 5.937 | 0.0000*** | |
雌 Female | 海拔 Altitude | -0.307 | 0.145 | -2.119 | 0.0341* |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.563 | 0.156 | 3.6 | 0.0003*** | |
雄 Male | 海拔 Altitude | -0.216 | 0.115 | -1.874 | 0.061 |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.685 | 0.129 | 5.314 | 0.0000*** | |
线性回归 Linear regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
雌 + 雄 Female + male | 月平均气温 Month average temperature | 6.231 | 0.980 | 6.361 | 0.0000*** |
月平均降水量 Month average precipitation | -1.104 | 0.980 | -1.127 | 0.273 | |
线性回归 Linear regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
海拔 Altitude | 月平均气温 Month average temperature | 6.107 | 0.413 | 14.803 | 0.0000*** |
月平均降水量 Month average precipitation | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.182 | 0.856 |
Table 1 The results of logistic regression and linear regression analysis
自变量 Independent variable | 回归系数 Coefficients | 标准误差 Standard error | z | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
逻辑斯谛回归 Logistic regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
雌 + 雄 Female + male | 海拔 Altitude | -0.259 | 0.100 | -2.592 | 0.0095** |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.643 | 0.108 | 5.937 | 0.0000*** | |
雌 Female | 海拔 Altitude | -0.307 | 0.145 | -2.119 | 0.0341* |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.563 | 0.156 | 3.6 | 0.0003*** | |
雄 Male | 海拔 Altitude | -0.216 | 0.115 | -1.874 | 0.061 |
日平均气温 Daily average temperature | 0.685 | 0.129 | 5.314 | 0.0000*** | |
线性回归 Linear regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
雌 + 雄 Female + male | 月平均气温 Month average temperature | 6.231 | 0.980 | 6.361 | 0.0000*** |
月平均降水量 Month average precipitation | -1.104 | 0.980 | -1.127 | 0.273 | |
线性回归 Linear regression, P < 0.0001 | |||||
海拔 Altitude | 月平均气温 Month average temperature | 6.107 | 0.413 | 14.803 | 0.0000*** |
月平均降水量 Month average precipitation | 0.000 | 0.002 | 0.182 | 0.856 |
生境因子 Habitat factor | 植被类型 Vegetation type | 森林起源 Forest origin | 乔木郁闭度 Tree canopy closure | 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage | 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | 100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | 海拔 Altitude (m) | 坡位 Position |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
森林起源 Forest origin | -0.415*** | |||||||
乔木郁闭度 Tree canopy closure | 0.135* | -0.142* | ||||||
灌木盖度 Shrub coverage | 0.146** | 0.018 | 0.111* | |||||
草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | -0.059 | 0.142* | -0.08 | 0.069 | ||||
100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | -0.125* | 0.032 | 0.127* | 0.082 | -0.145** | |||
海拔 Altitude (m) | 0.244*** | -0.452*** | 0.087 | 0.041 | -0.188*** | 0.287*** | ||
坡位 Position | 0.118* | -0.092 | 0.043 | -0.195*** | -0.056 | -0.421*** | 0.185*** | |
坡度 Gradient | 0.041 | 0.003 | 0.181** | 0.281*** | -0.186*** | 0.06 | 0.154** | -0.095 |
Table 2 Correlation coefficients among the characteristic parameters of habitat
生境因子 Habitat factor | 植被类型 Vegetation type | 森林起源 Forest origin | 乔木郁闭度 Tree canopy closure | 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage | 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | 100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | 海拔 Altitude (m) | 坡位 Position |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
森林起源 Forest origin | -0.415*** | |||||||
乔木郁闭度 Tree canopy closure | 0.135* | -0.142* | ||||||
灌木盖度 Shrub coverage | 0.146** | 0.018 | 0.111* | |||||
草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | -0.059 | 0.142* | -0.08 | 0.069 | ||||
100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | -0.125* | 0.032 | 0.127* | 0.082 | -0.145** | |||
海拔 Altitude (m) | 0.244*** | -0.452*** | 0.087 | 0.041 | -0.188*** | 0.287*** | ||
坡位 Position | 0.118* | -0.092 | 0.043 | -0.195*** | -0.056 | -0.421*** | 0.185*** | |
坡度 Gradient | 0.041 | 0.003 | 0.181** | 0.281*** | -0.186*** | 0.06 | 0.154** | -0.095 |
模型组合 Model combination | 自由度 df | 似然对数 Log-Likelihood | AICc | Delta | 权重 Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
e | 2 | -59.12 | 122.39 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
a × e | 3 | -58.26 | 122.80 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
b × e | 3 | -59.01 | 124.30 | 1.91 | 0.07 |
d × e | 3 | -59.01 | 124.30 | 1.91 | 0.07 |
a × d × e | 4 | -57.99 | 124.46 | 2.07 | 0.06 |
c × e | 3 | -59.12 | 124.53 | 2.14 | 0.06 |
a | 2 | -60.33 | 124.79 | 2.40 | 0.05 |
a × b × e | 4 | -58.24 | 124.96 | 2.57 | 0.05 |
a × c × e | 4 | -58.26 | 124.99 | 2.60 | 0.05 |
b × d × e | 4 | -58.85 | 126.16 | 3.77 | 0.03 |
a × d | 3 | -60.01 | 126.30 | 3.91 | 0.02 |
c × d × e | 4 | -59.00 | 126.47 | 4.09 | 0.02 |
b × c × e | 4 | -59.01 | 126.49 | 4.10 | 0.02 |
a × b × d × e | 5 | -57.94 | 126.60 | 4.22 | 0.02 |
a × c × d × e | 5 | -57.99 | 126.69 | 4.30 | 0.02 |
a × b | 3 | -60.26 | 126.80 | 4.41 | 0.02 |
a × c | 3 | -60.26 | 126.80 | 4.41 | 0.02 |
a × b × c × e | 5 | -58.24 | 127.20 | 4.81 | 0.02 |
d | 2 | -62.09 | 128.32 | 5.94 | 0.01 |
b × c × d × e | 5 | -58.82 | 128.36 | 5.97 | 0.01 |
c | 2 | -62.14 | 128.42 | 6.04 | 0.01 |
a × b × d | 4 | -59.98 | 128.43 | 6.04 | 0.01 |
a × c × d | 4 | -60.00 | 128.46 | 6.07 | 0.01 |
b | 2 | -62.18 | 128.50 | 6.11 | 0.01 |
a × b × c | 4 | -60.18 | 128.84 | 6.45 | 0.01 |
a × b × c × d × e | 6 | -57.93 | 128.88 | 6.49 | 0.01 |
c × d | 3 | -62.08 | 130.43 | 8.04 | 0.00 |
b × d | 3 | -62.09 | 130.46 | 8.08 | 0.00 |
b × c | 3 | -62.14 | 130.56 | 8.17 | 0.00 |
a × b × c × d | 5 | -59.96 | 130.63 | 8.24 | 0.00 |
b × c × d | 4 | -62.08 | 132.62 | 10.24 | 0.00 |
Table 3 The result of combined the parameters of the model average
模型组合 Model combination | 自由度 df | 似然对数 Log-Likelihood | AICc | Delta | 权重 Weight |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
e | 2 | -59.12 | 122.39 | 0.00 | 0.18 |
a × e | 3 | -58.26 | 122.80 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
b × e | 3 | -59.01 | 124.30 | 1.91 | 0.07 |
d × e | 3 | -59.01 | 124.30 | 1.91 | 0.07 |
a × d × e | 4 | -57.99 | 124.46 | 2.07 | 0.06 |
c × e | 3 | -59.12 | 124.53 | 2.14 | 0.06 |
a | 2 | -60.33 | 124.79 | 2.40 | 0.05 |
a × b × e | 4 | -58.24 | 124.96 | 2.57 | 0.05 |
a × c × e | 4 | -58.26 | 124.99 | 2.60 | 0.05 |
b × d × e | 4 | -58.85 | 126.16 | 3.77 | 0.03 |
a × d | 3 | -60.01 | 126.30 | 3.91 | 0.02 |
c × d × e | 4 | -59.00 | 126.47 | 4.09 | 0.02 |
b × c × e | 4 | -59.01 | 126.49 | 4.10 | 0.02 |
a × b × d × e | 5 | -57.94 | 126.60 | 4.22 | 0.02 |
a × c × d × e | 5 | -57.99 | 126.69 | 4.30 | 0.02 |
a × b | 3 | -60.26 | 126.80 | 4.41 | 0.02 |
a × c | 3 | -60.26 | 126.80 | 4.41 | 0.02 |
a × b × c × e | 5 | -58.24 | 127.20 | 4.81 | 0.02 |
d | 2 | -62.09 | 128.32 | 5.94 | 0.01 |
b × c × d × e | 5 | -58.82 | 128.36 | 5.97 | 0.01 |
c | 2 | -62.14 | 128.42 | 6.04 | 0.01 |
a × b × d | 4 | -59.98 | 128.43 | 6.04 | 0.01 |
a × c × d | 4 | -60.00 | 128.46 | 6.07 | 0.01 |
b | 2 | -62.18 | 128.50 | 6.11 | 0.01 |
a × b × c | 4 | -60.18 | 128.84 | 6.45 | 0.01 |
a × b × c × d × e | 6 | -57.93 | 128.88 | 6.49 | 0.01 |
c × d | 3 | -62.08 | 130.43 | 8.04 | 0.00 |
b × d | 3 | -62.09 | 130.46 | 8.08 | 0.00 |
b × c | 3 | -62.14 | 130.56 | 8.17 | 0.00 |
a × b × c × d | 5 | -59.96 | 130.63 | 8.24 | 0.00 |
b × c × d | 4 | -62.08 | 132.62 | 10.24 | 0.00 |
模型平均 Model averaging | 100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | 海拔 Altitude | 坡度 Gradient | 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
重要值 Importance value | 0.82 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
标准化回归系数β Standardized regression coefficient β | 1.026 | -0.172 | 0.096 | 0.122 | 0.009 |
P | 0.031* | 0.044* | 0.299 | 0.438 | 0.570 |
Table 4 Importance values, model regression coefficient and the P-value of variables
模型平均 Model averaging | 100 m内水源 Source of water in 100 meters | 海拔 Altitude | 坡度 Gradient | 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage | 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
重要值 Importance value | 0.82 | 0.51 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
标准化回归系数β Standardized regression coefficient β | 1.026 | -0.172 | 0.096 | 0.122 | 0.009 |
P | 0.031* | 0.044* | 0.299 | 0.438 | 0.570 |
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