
生物多样性 ›› 2018, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (2): 149-157. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2017196 cstr: 32101.14.biods.2017196
所属专题: 青藏高原生物多样性与生态安全
宋瑞玲1, 王昊1,*(
), 张迪1, 吕植1,2, 朱子云1,2, 张璐1, 刘炎林1,3, 才文公保2, 吴岚1
收稿日期:2017-07-04
接受日期:2018-01-18
出版日期:2018-02-20
发布日期:2018-05-05
通讯作者:
王昊
作者简介:# 共同第一作者
基金资助:
Ruiling Song1, Hao Wang1,*(
), Di Zhang1, Zhi Lü1,2, Ziyun Zhu1,2, Lu Zhang1, Yanlin Liu1,3, gongbao Caiwen2, Lan Wu1
Received:2017-07-04
Accepted:2018-01-18
Online:2018-02-20
Published:2018-05-05
Contact:
Wang Hao
About author:# Co-first authors
摘要:
三江源是我国生态保护的优先区域。自2005年以来, 国家投入大量资金在三江源实施了一系列生态保护措施和工程, 主要目的之一是保护和恢复草地生态系统。本文基于中分辨率成像光谱仪(MODIS)增强型植被指数(EVI)数据和野外实测样方, 从草地生物量的角度评估了三江源工程的保护成效, 以期为后续的保护措施提供参考。本文使用2000-2016年间在青藏高原248个样地的实测地上生物量数据和同期的EVI数据, 比较了通过EVI估算草地地上生物量的不同建模方法, 并从中选择表现最佳的乘幂模型反演了三江源高寒草地的地上生物量, 用趋势分析法得出了生物量的变化。结果显示, 2000-2016年间, 三江源高寒草地地上生物量没有发生显著变化的面积占62%, 显著增加的地方主要在西部和北部, 占22%, 显著减少的地方则主要在中部和南部, 占16%; 2000-2016年间, 草地地上生物量的年际波动较大, 但总趋势不显著; 在2012年后, 地上生物量表现出显著降低的趋势。三江源国家级自然保护区外部的草地地上生物量高于内部, 使用匹配法比较保护区内外草地地上生物量变化的情况, 结果发现在生态保护工程实施的2005-2012年间, 三江源保护区内的草地生物量没有显著增加。
宋瑞玲, 王昊, 张迪, 吕植, 朱子云, 张璐, 刘炎林, 才文公保, 吴岚 (2018) 基于MODIS-EVI评估三江源高寒草地的保护成效. 生物多样性, 26, 149-157. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2017196.
Ruiling Song, Hao Wang, Di Zhang, Zhi Lü, Ziyun Zhu, Lu Zhang, Yanlin Liu, gongbao Caiwen, Lan Wu (2018) Conservation outcomes assessment of Sanjiangyuan alpine grassland with MODIS-EVI approach. Biodiversity Science, 26, 149-157. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2017196.
| 模型 Model | 拟合方程 Function | 决定系数R2 Coefficients of determination | Sig. | 平均误差系数 Mean error coefficients |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 线性 Linear | Y = 376.571X - 17.075 | 0.606 | < 0.001 | 33.4% |
| 二次 Quadratic | Y = 163.385X2 + 280.199X - 6.634 | 0.609 | < 0.001 | 43.0% |
| 乘幂 Power | Y = 383.897X1.3 | 0.675 | < 0.001 | 24.3% |
| 指数 Exponential | Y = 11.977e5.653X | 0.611 | < 0.001 | 32.4% |
表1 据实测地上生物量与对应增强型植被指数(EVI)建立的4种回归模型(其中X为EVI, Y为地上生物量)
Table 1 The four regression models based on the measured aboveground biomass and the related enhanced vegetation index (EVI) (X = EVI; Y = aboveground biomass)
| 模型 Model | 拟合方程 Function | 决定系数R2 Coefficients of determination | Sig. | 平均误差系数 Mean error coefficients |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 线性 Linear | Y = 376.571X - 17.075 | 0.606 | < 0.001 | 33.4% |
| 二次 Quadratic | Y = 163.385X2 + 280.199X - 6.634 | 0.609 | < 0.001 | 43.0% |
| 乘幂 Power | Y = 383.897X1.3 | 0.675 | < 0.001 | 24.3% |
| 指数 Exponential | Y = 11.977e5.653X | 0.611 | < 0.001 | 32.4% |
图2 2000-2016年三江源自然保护区内外生长季平均地上生物量的波动变化
Fig. 2 The fluctuations of the average aboveground biomass of the growing season inside and outside of Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve (2000-2016)
图3 2000-2016年三江源高寒草地生长季平均增强型植被指数(EVI)变化的空间分布
Fig. 3 The spatial pattern of the trend of average enhanced vegetation index (EVI) of the growing season from 2000 to 2016 in Sanjiangyuan Region
| 匹配前后 Before & after matching (BM & AM) | 统计值 Statistics | 海拔 Elevation (m) | 坡度 Slope (°) | 草地类型(高寒草甸/高寒草原) Grassland type (Alpine meadow/ Alpine steppe) | 人口密度(人/km2) Population density (per km2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 匹配前 BM | 均值 Mean (内/外 Inside/Outside) | 4,567.200 /4,414.500 | 10.911/12.770 | 1.129/1.092 | 0.799/2.782 |
| 匹配后 AM | 均值 Mean (内/外 Inside/Outside) | 4,566.700 /4,572.500 | 10.914/11.085 | 1.129/1.120 | 0.799/1.752 |
| 匹配前 BM | 标准化均数差 Standardized mean difference | 49.409 | -19.899 | 11.040 | -9.659 |
| 匹配后 AM | 标准化均数差 Standardized mean difference | -1.894 | -1.833 | 2.453 | -4.639 |
表2 匹配后处理组(三江源保护区内)与对照组(保护区外)在4种协变量上的差距缩小
Table 2 The differences of the 4 covariates inside and outside of Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve were smaller after matching
| 匹配前后 Before & after matching (BM & AM) | 统计值 Statistics | 海拔 Elevation (m) | 坡度 Slope (°) | 草地类型(高寒草甸/高寒草原) Grassland type (Alpine meadow/ Alpine steppe) | 人口密度(人/km2) Population density (per km2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 匹配前 BM | 均值 Mean (内/外 Inside/Outside) | 4,567.200 /4,414.500 | 10.911/12.770 | 1.129/1.092 | 0.799/2.782 |
| 匹配后 AM | 均值 Mean (内/外 Inside/Outside) | 4,566.700 /4,572.500 | 10.914/11.085 | 1.129/1.120 | 0.799/1.752 |
| 匹配前 BM | 标准化均数差 Standardized mean difference | 49.409 | -19.899 | 11.040 | -9.659 |
| 匹配后 AM | 标准化均数差 Standardized mean difference | -1.894 | -1.833 | 2.453 | -4.639 |
| 序号 No. | 评估对象(处理组/对照组) Items(treatment /control) | ATT | t | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 保护区内/外 Inside/outside of NR | -158.170 | -4.7394 | 0.000** |
| 2 | 保护区内/外(去除10 km 缓冲区) Inside/outside (without 10 km buffer) of NR | -126.700 | -3.030 | 0.002** |
| 3 | 保护区内/外5 km缓冲区 5 km buffer inside and outside the border of NR | -211.200 | -5.755 | 0.000** |
| 4 | 保护区核心区 Core areas of NR | -185.410 | -5.668 | 0.000** |
表3 三江源保护区内外地上生物量年均变化率的处理组平均处理效应(ATT)和配对t检验结果
Table 3 Results of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) and paired-samples t-test of aboveground biomass change rate inside and outside of Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve (NR)
| 序号 No. | 评估对象(处理组/对照组) Items(treatment /control) | ATT | t | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 保护区内/外 Inside/outside of NR | -158.170 | -4.7394 | 0.000** |
| 2 | 保护区内/外(去除10 km 缓冲区) Inside/outside (without 10 km buffer) of NR | -126.700 | -3.030 | 0.002** |
| 3 | 保护区内/外5 km缓冲区 5 km buffer inside and outside the border of NR | -211.200 | -5.755 | 0.000** |
| 4 | 保护区核心区 Core areas of NR | -185.410 | -5.668 | 0.000** |
| 序号 No. | 保护分区 Sub-reserves | ATT | t | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 格拉丹东 Kelha Dandong | -119.880 | -0.777 | 0.436 |
| 2 | 麦秀 Manshuk | -139.200 | -0.770 | 0.442 |
| 3 | 果宗木查 Gorzong Mecha | 295.070 | 8.240 | 0.000** |
| 4 | 当曲 Dangchu | -259.300 | -9.970 | 0.000** |
| 5 | 索加-曲麻河 Suogya-Chemar River | 94.364 | 3.438 | 0.001** |
| 6 | 多可河 Dokhuk River | -198.440 | -0.600 | 0.548 |
| 7 | 玛可河 Makhuk River | 587.030 | 3.740 | 0.000** |
| 8 | 年保玉则 Nyanpo Yetse | 540.270 | 5.380 | 0.000** |
| 9 | 约古宗列 Yeger Zongne | -309.160 | -7.644 | 0.000** |
| 10 | 扎陵湖-鄂陵湖 Gyaring Lake-Ngoring Lake | -777.280 | -19.414 | 0.000** |
| 11 | 星星海 Xingxing Lake | -1695.200 | -29.040 | 0.000** |
| 12 | 阿尼玛卿 Anye Maching | -584.970 | -8.290 | 0.000** |
| 13 | 中铁-军功 Zhongtie-Jungong | -612.480 | -7.840 | 0.000** |
| 14 | 通天河沿岸 Druchu Riverbank | 609.100 | 8.250 | 0.000** |
| 15 | 东仲 Dorzong | -568.930 | -4.140 | 0.000** |
| 16 | 江西 Skyoshi | -966.400 | -5.270 | 0.000** |
| 17 | 白扎 Drultsa | -285.800 | -4.670 | 0.000** |
| 18 | 昂赛 Namser | -755.750 | -5.510 | 0.000** |
表4 18个保护分区的草地地上生物量年均变化率的处理组平均处理效应(ATT)和配对t检验结果
Table 4 Results of the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) of aboveground biomass change rate inside and outside of 18 sub-reserves
| 序号 No. | 保护分区 Sub-reserves | ATT | t | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 格拉丹东 Kelha Dandong | -119.880 | -0.777 | 0.436 |
| 2 | 麦秀 Manshuk | -139.200 | -0.770 | 0.442 |
| 3 | 果宗木查 Gorzong Mecha | 295.070 | 8.240 | 0.000** |
| 4 | 当曲 Dangchu | -259.300 | -9.970 | 0.000** |
| 5 | 索加-曲麻河 Suogya-Chemar River | 94.364 | 3.438 | 0.001** |
| 6 | 多可河 Dokhuk River | -198.440 | -0.600 | 0.548 |
| 7 | 玛可河 Makhuk River | 587.030 | 3.740 | 0.000** |
| 8 | 年保玉则 Nyanpo Yetse | 540.270 | 5.380 | 0.000** |
| 9 | 约古宗列 Yeger Zongne | -309.160 | -7.644 | 0.000** |
| 10 | 扎陵湖-鄂陵湖 Gyaring Lake-Ngoring Lake | -777.280 | -19.414 | 0.000** |
| 11 | 星星海 Xingxing Lake | -1695.200 | -29.040 | 0.000** |
| 12 | 阿尼玛卿 Anye Maching | -584.970 | -8.290 | 0.000** |
| 13 | 中铁-军功 Zhongtie-Jungong | -612.480 | -7.840 | 0.000** |
| 14 | 通天河沿岸 Druchu Riverbank | 609.100 | 8.250 | 0.000** |
| 15 | 东仲 Dorzong | -568.930 | -4.140 | 0.000** |
| 16 | 江西 Skyoshi | -966.400 | -5.270 | 0.000** |
| 17 | 白扎 Drultsa | -285.800 | -4.670 | 0.000** |
| 18 | 昂赛 Namser | -755.750 | -5.510 | 0.000** |
图4 一期工程期间(2005-2012)三江源生长季平均地上生物量变化的空间分布及各保护分区成效示意图
Fig. 4 The spatial pattern of the trend of average biomass of growing season during the first-stage projects period (2005-2012) in Sanjiangyuan and the protection effectiveness in each sub-reserve
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