
Biodiv Sci ›› 2026, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (6): 25501. DOI: 10.17520/biods.2025501 cstr: 32101.14.biods.2025501
• Original Papers: Animal Diversity • Previous Articles Next Articles
Hua Guo1(
), Yutian Luo2, Yili Dong3(
), Lü Zhou1(
), Shimao Yao1, Xufei Zhu1, Cheng Tian1,*(
)(
)
Received:2025-12-18
Accepted:2026-03-19
Online:2026-06-20
Published:2026-07-30
Contact:
*E-mail: tiancheng@sxau.edu.cn
Supported by:Hua Guo, Yutian Luo, Yili Dong, Lü Zhou, Shimao Yao, Xufei Zhu, Cheng Tian. Effects of livestock grazing on the spatio-temporal distribution of Tragopan temminckii in Wanglang National Nature Reserve[J]. Biodiv Sci, 2026, 34(6): 25501.
| 环境协变量 Environmental covariates | 描述 Description | 协变量类型 Covariate type |
|---|---|---|
| 相机监测天数 Camera monitoring days (d) | 每个相机的监测天数 Monitoring days of each camera | 探测协变量(p) |
| 海拔 Altitude (m) | 每个相机位点的海拔高度 Altitude of each camera | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 郁闭度 Canopy closure (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中乔木树冠比例 Proportion of tree crowns in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中草本覆盖比例 Proportion of herbaceous coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中灌木覆盖比例 Proportion of shrub coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 竹子盖度 Bamboo coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中竹子覆盖比例 Proportion of bamboo coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 凋落物 Litter layer (cm) | 20 m × 20 m样方中凋落物的厚度 Thickness of litter in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 距最近河流距离 Distance to the nearest river (m) | 基于ArcGIS 10.8提取相机监测点位距最近水源的距离 The distance from the camera monitoring point to the nearest water source (extracted using ArcGIS 10.8) | 占域协变量(ψ) |
Table 1 Eight environmental covariates used for modelling purposes
| 环境协变量 Environmental covariates | 描述 Description | 协变量类型 Covariate type |
|---|---|---|
| 相机监测天数 Camera monitoring days (d) | 每个相机的监测天数 Monitoring days of each camera | 探测协变量(p) |
| 海拔 Altitude (m) | 每个相机位点的海拔高度 Altitude of each camera | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 郁闭度 Canopy closure (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中乔木树冠比例 Proportion of tree crowns in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 草本盖度 Herbaceous coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中草本覆盖比例 Proportion of herbaceous coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 灌木盖度 Shrub coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中灌木覆盖比例 Proportion of shrub coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 竹子盖度 Bamboo coverage (%) | 20 m × 20 m样方中竹子覆盖比例 Proportion of bamboo coverage in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 凋落物 Litter layer (cm) | 20 m × 20 m样方中凋落物的厚度 Thickness of litter in a 20 m × 20 m quadrat | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 距最近河流距离 Distance to the nearest river (m) | 基于ArcGIS 10.8提取相机监测点位距最近水源的距离 The distance from the camera monitoring point to the nearest water source (extracted using ArcGIS 10.8) | 占域协变量(ψ) |
| 模型选择 Model selection | 参数个数 (K) | 似然对数 (logLik) | 基于小样本量修正的赤池信息量准则(AICc) | AICc差值 AICc differences | 权重 Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 红腹角雉 Tragopan temminckii | |||||
| p(day), ψ(herb) | 4 | -365.39 | 738.95 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + shrub) | 6 | -358.53 | 739.13 | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb) | 5 | -361.88 | 739.16 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + altitude) | 6 | -358.53 | 739.16 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + altitude) | 5 | -362.10 | 739.65 | 0.69 | 0.09 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + bamboo) | 5 | -362.11 | 739.68 | 0.72 | 0.08 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + bamboo) | 6 | -358.73 | 740.15 | 1.19 | 0.07 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + shrub) | 5 | -362.40 | 740.21 | 1.26 | 0.06 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + altitude + shrub) | 7 | -352.34 | 740.40 | 1.45 | 0.06 |
| p(day), ψ(litter+ herb + altitude + bamboo) | 7 | -352.43 | 740.56 | 1.61 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(herb +bamboo +altitude) | 6 | -358.90 | 740.68 | 1.73 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + bamboo + shrub) | 7 | -352.54 | 740.86 | 1.91 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + canopy) | 5 | -362.66 | 740.89 | 1.93 | 0.05 |
| 家畜 Livestock | |||||
| p(.), ψ(canopy + altitude + shrub) | 5 | -184.68 | 394.67 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + shrub) | 4 | -188.38 | 395.04 | 0.37 | 0.10 |
| p(.), ψ(shrub) | 3 | -191.91 | 395.15 | 0.48 | 0.10 |
| p(.), ψ(altitude + shrub) | 4 | -188.47 | 395.33 | 0.66 | 0.09 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + bamboo + altitude + shrub) | 6 | -181.72 | 395.53 | 0.86 | 0.08 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy) | 3 | -192.00 | 395.68 | 1.01 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + bamboo + shrub) | 5 | -184.85 | 395.75 | 1.08 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(bamboo + shrub) | 4 | -188.58 | 395.93 | 1.26 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(bamboo + altitude + shrub) | 5 | -185.04 | 396.23 | 1.56 | 0.06 |
| p(.), ψ(litter + canopy + altitude + shrub) | 6 | -181.82 | 396.29 | 1.62 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(.) | 2 | -195.33 | 396.37 | 1.70 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + altitude + river + shrub) | 6 | -181.93 | 396.57 | 1.90 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + river + shrub) | 5 | -185.11 | 396.63 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| p(.), ψ(litter + canopy) | 4 | -188.66 | 396.65 | 1.98 | 0.04 |
Table 2 Single-species occupancy model selection results
| 模型选择 Model selection | 参数个数 (K) | 似然对数 (logLik) | 基于小样本量修正的赤池信息量准则(AICc) | AICc差值 AICc differences | 权重 Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 红腹角雉 Tragopan temminckii | |||||
| p(day), ψ(herb) | 4 | -365.39 | 738.95 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + shrub) | 6 | -358.53 | 739.13 | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb) | 5 | -361.88 | 739.16 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + altitude) | 6 | -358.53 | 739.16 | 0.21 | 0.11 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + altitude) | 5 | -362.10 | 739.65 | 0.69 | 0.09 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + bamboo) | 5 | -362.11 | 739.68 | 0.72 | 0.08 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + bamboo) | 6 | -358.73 | 740.15 | 1.19 | 0.07 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + shrub) | 5 | -362.40 | 740.21 | 1.26 | 0.06 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + altitude + shrub) | 7 | -352.34 | 740.40 | 1.45 | 0.06 |
| p(day), ψ(litter+ herb + altitude + bamboo) | 7 | -352.43 | 740.56 | 1.61 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(herb +bamboo +altitude) | 6 | -358.90 | 740.68 | 1.73 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(litter + herb + bamboo + shrub) | 7 | -352.54 | 740.86 | 1.91 | 0.05 |
| p(day), ψ(herb + canopy) | 5 | -362.66 | 740.89 | 1.93 | 0.05 |
| 家畜 Livestock | |||||
| p(.), ψ(canopy + altitude + shrub) | 5 | -184.68 | 394.67 | 0.00 | 0.12 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + shrub) | 4 | -188.38 | 395.04 | 0.37 | 0.10 |
| p(.), ψ(shrub) | 3 | -191.91 | 395.15 | 0.48 | 0.10 |
| p(.), ψ(altitude + shrub) | 4 | -188.47 | 395.33 | 0.66 | 0.09 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + bamboo + altitude + shrub) | 6 | -181.72 | 395.53 | 0.86 | 0.08 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy) | 3 | -192.00 | 395.68 | 1.01 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + bamboo + shrub) | 5 | -184.85 | 395.75 | 1.08 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(bamboo + shrub) | 4 | -188.58 | 395.93 | 1.26 | 0.07 |
| p(.), ψ(bamboo + altitude + shrub) | 5 | -185.04 | 396.23 | 1.56 | 0.06 |
| p(.), ψ(litter + canopy + altitude + shrub) | 6 | -181.82 | 396.29 | 1.62 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(.) | 2 | -195.33 | 396.37 | 1.70 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + altitude + river + shrub) | 6 | -181.93 | 396.57 | 1.90 | 0.05 |
| p(.), ψ(canopy + river + shrub) | 5 | -185.11 | 396.63 | 1.96 | 0.04 |
| p(.), ψ(litter + canopy) | 4 | -188.66 | 396.65 | 1.98 | 0.04 |
Fig. 4 Marginal occupancy probability of Tragopan temminckii and livestock are influenced by optimal occupancy covariates. The shaded areas are 95% credible intervals.
Fig. 5 Under the presence and absence of livestock, the occupancy probability of Tragopan temminckii varies along the gradients of bamboo coverage, altitude, and distance to the nearest river. The shaded areas are 95% credible intervals.
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