生物多样性

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三江源国家公园人兽冲突现状分析与应对模式及对策研究

郭婧, 李婧梅, 王礼宁, 羊进拉毛, 张明霞   

  1. 青海省社会科学院, 810000
  • 收稿日期:2026-01-31 修回日期:2026-08-12
  • 通讯作者: 王礼宁
  • 基金资助:
    2025年青海省哲学社会科学一般项目(28YB015); 2024年度国家社科基金艺术学青年项目(24CH219)

Research on the Current Situation of Human - Wildlife Conflict and Herders' Attitude and Perception in Sanjiangyuan National Park

Jing Guo, Jingmei Li, Lining Wang, Yangjin Lhamo, Mingxia Zhang   

  1. , 810000,
  • Received:2026-01-31 Revised:2026-08-12
  • Contact: Lining Wang

摘要: 人兽冲突是国家公园建设背景下野生动物保护面临的重要社会—生态问题,其频发不仅影响生物多样性保护成效,也对牧民生计与社区稳定构成挑战。本研究以曲麻莱县为样本区,通过对155户牧民进行问卷调查,运用模糊综合评价与二元Logistic回归模型,从社会-生态系统(Social-Ecological Systems, SES)视角系统分析了人兽冲突的时空特征、牧民的容忍态度及其关键驱动因素。结果表明,狼和棕熊为研究区主要肇事物种,其中棕熊对冲突加剧贡献最大;冲突具有明显季节性特征,高发期集中在7—11月。牧民对现有防范措施的满意度整体较低(M=0.37,满分1.00),对现行补偿政策的评价仅为一般水平(M=0.44),且对棕熊的容忍度显著低于狼和雪豹;Logistic回归分析表明,人身安全直接受害经历(是否遭受棕熊侵害)是驱动牧民产生“不容忍”态度的最核心因素(p<0.05),而单纯的经济损失在多变量模型中影响不显著;同时,社会资本(如是否加入合作社)可显著缓解负面态度(p<0.05)。基于本研究结果,提出如下对策建议:(1)强化社区治理,整合传统知识与现代技术,提升监测预警与协同防控能力;(2)完善补偿与恢复机制,提高补偿公平性与效率,强化心理与社会支持;(3)实施分区分类治理,优化防控与生计支持模式,推动牧区转型发展;(4)加强种群监测与风险预警,提升突发冲突的应急处置能力。

关键词: 三江源国家公园, 人兽冲突, 应对模式, 模糊评价, 社会-生态系统

AbstractBackground & Aims: Human–wildlife conflict is a major social–ecological challenge in the development of national parks, with direct implications for biodiversity conservation and the sustainable livelihoods of local communities. Understanding the patterns of conflict occurrence and herders’ attitudes is essential for improving conflict management and promoting human–wildlife coexistence. This study aims to analyze the characteristics of human–wildlife conflict, herders’ attitudes and perceptions, and their influencing factors in Sanjiangyuan National Park, and to assess conflict severity, conservation attitudes, and trends in wildlife damage. Results: Based on questionnaire surveys and interviews with 155 herder households in Qumalai County, Sanjiangyuan National Park, the results show that human–wildlife conflicts in the study area have increased markedly. Wolves and brown bears are the primary conflict species, with brown bears contributing most substantially to conflict intensification. Conflicts exhibit pronounced seasonality, with peak occurrences from July to November. Herders reported low overall satisfaction with existing preventive measures and moderate satisfaction with compensation policies, while their tolerance toward brown bears was significantly lower than that toward wolves and snow leopards. Chi-square analyses indicate that experiences of brown bear damage, the magnitude of economic losses, and livestock holding size are the key factors shaping herders’ attitudes. Although preventive measures are widely implemented, the adoption of high-cost protective facilities remains limited; response actions are constrained by personal safety risks and insufficient effective deterrent technologies; and post-conflict responses rely mainly on institutional mechanisms such as government reporting and insurance compensation. Conclusions & Implications: These findings indicate that human–wildlife conflict management in Sanjiangyuan National Park should strengthen the suitability of preventive and deterrent technologies, improve the fairness and effectiveness of compensation mechanisms, and promote community-based co-management, in order to achieve sustainable human–wildlife coexistence under the national park framework.

Key words: Sanjiangyuan National Park, Human-wildlife conflict, Coping strategies, Fuzzy evaluation, Social-Ecological Systems