研究活动是否影响鸟类的巢存活率?——以红头长尾山雀为例

胡骞, 文野, 吕磊, 王鹏程, 李建强, 徐基良

Does research activity affect nest survival of birds? A case study on the black-throated tit (Aegithalos concinnus)

Qian Hu, Ye Wen, Lei Lv, Pengcheng Wang, Jianqiang Li, Jiliang Xu

表1 影响红头长尾山雀卵期和育雏期巢日存活率的因素的模型平均结果(效应显著的参数已加粗显示)

Table 1 Model-averaged results for factors affecting daily nest survival rate of black-throated tit at the egg and nestling stages (significant results are shown in bold)

模型参数 Model parameters 卵期阶段 Egg stage 育雏阶段 Nestling stage 参数估计值 Parameter estimate 95%置信区间 95% confidence interval 参数估计值 Parameter estimate 95%置信区间 95% confidence interval 截距 Intercept 4.72 (3.070, 6.379) 3.38 (2.554, 4.197) 查巢活动 Nest visit activity -0.34 (-0.966, 0.277) -0.64 (-1.301, 0.025) 视频拍摄 Filming activity -0.51 (-1.516, 0.492) 0.04 (-1.077, 1.166) 产卵/破壳日期 Laying/Hatching date -0.02 (-0.035, -0.002) -0.02 (-0.033, -0.001) 巢高 Nest height -0.26 (-0.895, 0.372) 0.47 (-0.141, 1.090) 巢日龄 Nest age -0.02 (-0.064, 0.029) -0.03 (-0.084, 0.027) 2012a -0.03 (-2.490, 2.428) -0.18 (-1.920, 1.566) 2013a -0.72 (-2.326, 0.889) 0.14 (-1.059, 1.347) 2014a -0.78 (-2.403, 0.851) -0.52 (-1.729, 0.689) 2015a 0.50 (-1.481, 2.475) 0.19 (-1.060, 1.448) 2016a -0.87 (-2.451, 0.702) 0.11 (-1.078, 1.300) 2017a -0.55 (-2.064, 0.958) -0.39 (-1.505, 0.721) 2018a -1.53 (-3.047, -0.021) -1.05 (-2.202, 0.109)